Desenvolvimento de uma Metodologia de Análise de Decisão Multicritério Adaptada a um Cenário de Aglomerado Urbano Afetado por um Evento Climático Extremo

June 29, 2026

This research aims to develop and adapt a multicriteria decision analysis methodology to an urban area affected by an extreme weather event. The study is framed by the increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather phenomena and by the need to support post-disaster decision-making, particularly in the prioritisation of inspections and interventions in buildings and urban infrastructure. The proposed methodology is based on five main evaluation criteria: criticality, operationality, affected population, repair costs and intervention time. To operationalise the model, the MACBETH methodology was adopted, as it enables the construction of value scales from qualitative judgments of attractiveness and integrates multiple criteria within a transparent and coherent prioritisation process. Given the fragmented and often unavailable nature of post-event data, an illustrative example was created to test the sensitivity and robustness of the model. The results show that the methodology produces consistent and interpretable rankings, with stable top priorities across the scenarios analysed. Particularly, critical infrastructures systematically occupy the highest-priority positions, demonstrating the suitability of the model as a decision-support tool for civil protection and post-disaster urban recovery.

Authors in the community:

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  G

  Gonçalo Morais Jácome Vaz Ramires

  ist196026

Supervisors of this institution:

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  C

  Cristina Marta Castilho Pereira Santos Gomes

  ist14038

• 

  C

  Clara Isabel Fernandes Pereira

  ist170778

civil-engineering - Civil engineering

por - Portuguese

Instituto Superior Técnico